I'm sure the black market for cigs is one reason why IL's tobacco revenue dropped in recent years. Increases in otha thangs (like Crook County's property taxes) are anotha factor. When everythang is expensive for the poor, then a pack of cigs becomes more valuable to the bootleggas. Actually, a pack of cigs becomes more valuable for everyone.
If the proposed IL state cig tax increase doesn't make people lose jobs, the increase in tobacco-related heists certainly will.